There are many variables here and one can’t simply state there should be a specific time.
Aside from miles and hours on the engine, oils still break down, synthetics and conventional.
All brands have a recommended change interval, aside from the auto manufacturer‘s recommendation. Some oil makers say 6 months. Others, say 1 year. Depends on their additives. There’s a minimum they each must do. Some, do a little more, others, even more. Friction modifiers, suspension agents, thermal agents, detergents, etc.
When it comes to engineering, they can be sure if the oil is changed at “X”, in this argued case, “6 moths” regardless of miles, the risk of contaminants and moisture damage reduces considerably. They want to avoid a warranty claim as much as the buyer.
Synthetics are just as susceptible to taking on moisture. As for the “trapped” contaminants, they are still there and can settle or cause corrosion. Oil becomes acidic with use, and with sitting. It also breaks down over time, even without use.
There’s the other component with motor oil temp. Short drives, where the oil doesn’t reach full operating temp long enough to get moisture to evaporate, can also be problematic. So, the engineers, who rarely, if ever assume, will assume a low mileage use vehicle, doesn’t get driven long enough to get oil to all critical components and operate long enough to properly do it’s job.
Lastly, many of us have unique circumstances. It’s impossible for any manufacturer to create a maintenance interval on variable factors. It’s easier to set a general rule for all.
It’s what we do in our company. Too many variables present, and as a result, we set a standard. There are always exceptions to the rule. And we’ve learned, “everyone” is so unique and has exceptions.
Anecdotally, it seems the only people who claim to never have an issue, follow the manufacturers recommendations and don’t apply their own “experience and knowledge” while deviating from the recommended fluid/time/viscosity, etc.
It does seem those of use who deviate, are most commonly sharing woes. Again, this is anecdotally speaking.
I‘ll say this. Working for a manufacturer, being an engineer, a researcher, technical writer, leading a market acceptance team, design8ng product, etc., I’m one who bases everything on factual, recorded data. It’s emotional torment to sit by and consider opinions as fact or merely at a nominal degree, accurate. It’s one of my plights.