When technology is primitive, giant leaps and bounds in progress are common, but as technology become more and more complex, those changes become more incremental and evolutionary rather than revolutionary. Just as has been said, cars are not being replaced with some other revolutionary type of transportation (a la horses to cars)… this is an incremental and evolutionary change to the vehicles we already know, but this change will take massive and slow growing changes to our world’s infrastructure and to how we think about how cars are built and the materials that are used. Anyone who believes that internal combustion engines will be effectively replaced by electric cars in 15 years has very little grasp on how engineering, science and legislation actually work! Sure, there will be more electric cars out there and there will be BETTER infrastructure out there for them in 15 years, but fossil fuels (and their synthetic counterparts) will not disappear. Also, the impact on the environment won’t be as dramatically reduced as some believe. If you want to follow the developments in alternative fuels and EVs more closely, join the SAE… I’ve been a member for over 20 years and I was on the team that launched the very first mass produced electric car (GM EV1). Ask me about what people were saying about the future of gas cars back in the 90s when we did that!
. Let’s just say, the predictions back then were a bit off as well. Toyota got closer than anyone with the Prius, but back then everyone thought we were on the doorstep of a brave new world. And if anyone here thinks I’m just an old fogey closed minded gas loving hot rodder who refuses to change with the times, I’m not. I currently have two Cadillac Lyriqs, a Hummer EV, and a Silverado EV on order. I’m not getting rid of the 392 or my 69 Cuda (or my Duramax) anytime soon, but I’ll drive electric when it suits the situation. And I’m banking on the fact that there are other people out there who feel the same. (So let me know if you are in the market for any of those EVs because I’m obviously not planning to have them all in my garage at the same time!
). I just want to be one of the first to experience them.